Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.