Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 61.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.16%) and 3-1 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Annan Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
61.52% ( 0.36) | 19.51% ( -0.23) | 18.97% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 62.11% ( 0.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.77% ( 0.9) | 33.23% ( -0.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.01% ( 1.02) | 54.98% ( -1.02) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.51% ( 0.35) | 10.48% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.87% ( 0.8) | 34.13% ( -0.8) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.38% ( 0.41) | 30.62% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.14% ( 0.48) | 66.85% ( -0.49) |
Score Analysis |
Annan Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.05) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.32% Total : 61.52% | 1-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.32% Total : 19.51% | 1-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2% ( 0) Other @ 3.59% Total : 18.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 17 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |