Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 69.96%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 12.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.