Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cove Rangers | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
40.41% ( 0) | 23.83% ( -0.01) | 35.76% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 61.95% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.83% ( 0.05) | 40.17% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.46% ( 0.05) | 62.54% ( -0.05) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.86% ( 0.02) | 20.14% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.58% ( 0.03) | 52.42% ( -0.03) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.57% ( 0.03) | 22.42% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.05% ( 0.04) | 55.95% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Cove Rangers | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 40.41% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 8.09% 0-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 35.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 34 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 29 |
4 | Cove Rangers | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 22 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 19 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 7 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |