Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arbroath in this match.