Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.