Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stenhousemuir | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
43.52% ( 0.03) | 25.06% ( -0) | 31.43% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.22% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.93% ( 0.03) | 47.08% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.69% ( 0.02) | 69.32% ( -0.02) |
Stenhousemuir Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.37% ( 0.03) | 21.64% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.24% ( 0.04) | 54.76% ( -0.03) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.75% ( 0) | 28.26% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.03% | 63.97% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Stenhousemuir | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
1-0 @ 9.36% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.66% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 43.52% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.74% Total : 31.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 28 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 27 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 26 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 25 |
5 | Montrose | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Dumbarton | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |