Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Edinburgh City would win this match.
Result | ||
Edinburgh City | Draw | Peterhead |
53.54% ( 0.16) | 22.74% ( -0.13) | 23.72% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 57.79% ( 0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.84% ( 0.56) | 42.16% ( -0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.44% ( 0.56) | 64.56% ( -0.56) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.26% ( 0.25) | 15.73% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.17% ( 0.47) | 44.83% ( -0.47) |
Peterhead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.58% ( 0.28) | 31.42% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.2% ( 0.32) | 67.79% ( -0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Edinburgh City | Draw | Peterhead |
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.58% Total : 53.54% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 6.13% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 23.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 17 |
8 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 15 |
9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 14 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |