Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Edinburgh City would win this match.