Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 64.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 14.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.02%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Peterhead win it was 1-0 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterhead | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
14.48% ( -1.1) | 20.69% ( -1.38) | 64.84% ( 2.48) |
Both teams to score 47.93% ( 1.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.94% ( 3.57) | 47.06% ( -3.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.7% ( 3.23) | 69.3% ( -3.23) |
Peterhead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.57% ( 0.62) | 44.43% ( -0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.53% ( 0.5) | 80.48% ( -0.5) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.25% ( 1.95) | 13.75% ( -1.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.97% ( 3.74) | 41.04% ( -3.73) |
Score Analysis |
Peterhead | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.68) 2-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.38% Total : 14.48% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.61) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.96) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.78% Total : 20.69% | 0-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.97) 0-2 @ 12.02% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 7.95% ( 0.47) 1-3 @ 6.45% ( 0.48) 0-4 @ 3.95% ( 0.48) 1-4 @ 3.2% ( 0.44) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.24) 0-5 @ 1.57% ( 0.28) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.2) 1-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.25) Other @ 2.63% Total : 64.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |