Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 37.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.55%) and 2-0 (4.85%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.