Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 68.78%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 13.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Edinburgh City |
68.78% ( 0) | 17.61% ( -0) | 13.6% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 56.32% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.14% ( 0.02) | 34.86% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.16% ( 0.02) | 56.84% ( -0.02) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.8% ( 0.01) | 9.2% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.85% ( 0.01) | 31.15% ( -0.01) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.03% ( 0.02) | 37.97% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.26% ( 0.02) | 74.74% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Edinburgh City |
2-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.63% 1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.91% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.66% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.72% 4-1 @ 4.57% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.25% 4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.18% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 4.62% Total : 68.78% | 1-1 @ 8.07% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.49% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.61% | 1-2 @ 3.91% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.38% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 13.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |