Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 52.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
Result | ||
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Dumbarton |
52.62% ( -0.35) | 24.54% ( 0.04) | 22.84% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 50.89% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.2% ( 0.17) | 50.79% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.31% ( 0.15) | 72.68% ( -0.15) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.73% ( -0.07) | 19.27% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49% ( -0.12) | 50.99% ( 0.12) |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.03% ( 0.39) | 36.96% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.25% ( 0.39) | 73.75% ( -0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Dumbarton |
1-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 52.61% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.54% | 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.73% Total : 22.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 34 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 32 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 31 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 29 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 28 |
7 | Montrose | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 24 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 20 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Dumbarton | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 7 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |