Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Dumbarton |
43.72% ( -0.05) | 24.54% ( -0.01) | 31.74% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 58.13% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.37% ( 0.06) | 44.63% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33% ( 0.06) | 67% ( -0.06) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.48% ( 0) | 20.52% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.98% ( 0.01) | 53.02% ( -0.01) |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.14% ( 0.06) | 26.85% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.84% ( 0.09) | 62.16% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Dumbarton |
2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 43.72% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 31.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 34 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 29 |
4 | Cove Rangers | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 22 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 19 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 7 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |