Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 61.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 16.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
61.44% ( -0.11) | 22.39% ( 0.02) | 16.17% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 46.61% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.08% ( 0.08) | 50.92% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.21% ( 0.07) | 72.79% ( -0.07) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.89% ( -0) | 16.11% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.48% ( -0.01) | 45.52% ( 0.02) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.56% ( 0.17) | 44.44% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.52% ( 0.14) | 80.48% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
1-0 @ 13.06% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 11.93% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.93% Total : 61.43% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.71% Total : 22.39% | 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.49% Total : 16.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |