Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Montrose |
39.27% (![]() | 24.42% (![]() | 36.32% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.84% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.05% (![]() | 42.95% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.65% (![]() | 65.35% (![]() |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.11% (![]() | 21.89% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.86% (![]() | 55.14% (![]() |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.6% (![]() | 23.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.62% (![]() | 57.38% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Montrose |
2-1 @ 8.59% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.78% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.91% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.35% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.16% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.51% Total : 39.27% | 1-1 @ 11.3% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.24% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.12% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.53% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 8.21% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.44% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.4% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.97% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.1% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.17% Total : 36.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 52 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 47 |
3 | Cove Rangers | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 44 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 40 |
5 | Kelty Hearts | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 35 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 35 |
7 | Montrose | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 29 |
9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 27 |
10 | Dumbarton | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |