Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.