Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
40.75% ( -0.06) | 25.36% ( 0.09) | 33.88% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 56.04% ( -0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.32% ( -0.4) | 47.68% ( 0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.12% ( -0.37) | 69.88% ( 0.37) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.78% ( -0.2) | 23.22% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.87% ( -0.3) | 57.13% ( 0.3) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.99% ( -0.21) | 27% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.64% ( -0.28) | 62.36% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.1% Total : 40.75% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.06% Total : 33.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 17 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |