Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Montrose in this match.