Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-0 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.