Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
63.19% ( 0.9) | 20.97% ( -0.51) | 15.84% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 50.26% ( 0.75) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.36% ( 1.45) | 45.64% ( -1.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.04% ( 1.37) | 67.96% ( -1.37) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.2% ( 0.75) | 13.8% ( -0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.87% ( 1.46) | 41.13% ( -1.46) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.31% ( 0.37) | 41.69% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.83% ( 0.32) | 78.16% ( -0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
1-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.4) 2-0 @ 11.28% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.76% Total : 63.18% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.93% Total : 20.97% | 0-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.72% Total : 15.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 17 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |