Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
42.92% ( -2.42) | 24% ( -0.39) | 33.08% ( 2.82) |
Both teams to score 60.58% ( 2.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.33% ( 2.98) | 41.67% ( -2.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.93% ( 2.95) | 64.07% ( -2.94) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.35% ( 0.17) | 19.65% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.38% ( 0.28) | 51.62% ( -0.28) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.39% ( 3.22) | 24.61% ( -3.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.89% ( 4.31) | 59.11% ( -4.3) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( -1.06) 2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.82) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.43) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.22) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.14% Total : 42.92% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.68) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.24) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.43) 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.5) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.42) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.3) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.27) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.23) Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cove Rangers | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
2 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Arbroath | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 17 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Montrose | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 13 |
9 | Dumbarton | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | -2 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |