Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 37.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.