Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.