Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
49.54% (![]() | 22.94% (![]() | 27.52% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.04% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.37% (![]() | 39.63% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.02% (![]() | 61.98% (![]() |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.78% (![]() | 16.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.27% (![]() | 45.73% (![]() |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.85% (![]() | 27.15% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.46% (![]() | 62.55% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.5% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.01% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.29% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.76% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.42% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.75% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 3.54% Total : 49.54% | 1-1 @ 10.44% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.19% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.4% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.63% ( ![]() Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 6.81% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.74% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.74% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.99% Total : 27.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 52 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 47 |
3 | Cove Rangers | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 44 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 40 |
5 | Kelty Hearts | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 35 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 35 |
7 | Montrose | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 29 |
9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 27 |
10 | Dumbarton | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |