Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
49.54% ( -0.05) | 22.94% ( 0.04) | 27.52% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 61.04% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.37% ( -0.16) | 39.63% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.02% ( -0.17) | 61.98% ( 0.17) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.78% ( -0.08) | 16.22% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.27% ( -0.14) | 45.73% ( 0.14) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.85% ( -0.07) | 27.15% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.46% ( -0.1) | 62.55% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.42% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.54% Total : 49.54% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 27.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 21 |
2 | Cove Rangers | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 20 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arbroath | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
5 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 18 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 14 |
9 | Dumbarton | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 12 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |