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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tony Macaroni Arena
Motherwell logo

Livingston
2 - 0
Motherwell

Anderson (53'), Kelly (62' pen.)
Holt (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Spencer (69'), Wilkinson (90+4'), Casey (90+4')
Miller (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Livingston and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Johnstone 1-1 Livingston
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 1-2 Celtic
Saturday, September 30 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Livingston 0-2 Motherwell

Motherwell might be struggling for goals in away games, but Livingston's issues defensively could lead to the visitors changing that. The Steelmen will head into the game as favourites, and if they are able to perform to their best then they would be expected to take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
LivingstonDrawMotherwell
38.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 26.68% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 35.18% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.88% (0.014000000000003 0.01)53.12% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.3% (0.010999999999999 0.01)74.7% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.9% (0.010000000000005 0.01)27.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.52% (0.016000000000005 0.02)62.47% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)28.84% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)64.69% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Livingston 38.13%
    Motherwell 35.18%
    Draw 26.67%
LivingstonDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 10.2%
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.61% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 38.13%
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 7.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 6.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.27%
0-3 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 35.18%

How you voted: Livingston vs Motherwell

Livingston
37.5%
Draw
37.5%
Motherwell
25.0%
8
Head to Head
May 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Livingston
1-1
Motherwell
Shinnie (83')
Montano (69'), Devlin (89')
George (43')
Van Veen (3')
Goss (57')
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Motherwell
3-0
Livingston
Van Veen (9', 33'), Johnston (34')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
Motherwell
1-0
Livingston
Van Veen (68' pen.)
Morris (61')

Bahamboula (74')
Bahamboula (77')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Livingston
2-2
Motherwell
Bailey (26'), Forrest (58')
Kelly (80')
Slattery (72'), Lamie (90+3')
Slattery (61'), Johansen (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78


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