Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
Result | ||
Livingston | Draw | Motherwell |
38.13% ( 0.01) | 26.68% ( -0.01) | 35.18% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.88% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.88% ( 0.01) | 53.12% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.3% ( 0.01) | 74.7% ( -0.01) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.9% ( 0.01) | 27.09% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.52% ( 0.02) | 62.47% ( -0.02) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.16% ( 0) | 28.84% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.3% ( 0) | 64.69% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Livingston | Draw | Motherwell |
1-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.66% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 38.13% | 1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 7.81% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 9.72% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.04% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |