Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Dundee United |
28.37% ( 0.01) | 23.77% ( 0.04) | 47.86% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 58.78% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.1% ( -0.18) | 42.9% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.7% ( -0.18) | 65.3% ( 0.18) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.77% ( -0.08) | 28.23% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.07% ( -0.1) | 63.93% ( 0.1) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.9% ( -0.09) | 18.1% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.97% ( -0.16) | 49.03% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Dundee United |
2-1 @ 6.99% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 28.37% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 9.44% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.25% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.61% Total : 47.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 20 | 18 |
2 | Aberdeen | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 18 |
3 | RangersRangers | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 13 |
4 | Motherwell | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
6 | St Mirren | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 8 |
7 | Ross County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
8 | Dundee | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
9 | Hibernian | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 5 |
10 | St Johnstone | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 4 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 3 |
12 | Hearts | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |