Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 53.09%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Dundee |
53.09% (![]() | 22.56% (![]() | 24.35% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.17% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.32% (![]() | 40.68% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.93% (![]() | 63.07% (![]() |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.63% (![]() | 15.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.85% (![]() | 44.14% (![]() |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.91% (![]() | 30.09% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.77% (![]() | 66.23% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Dundee |
2-1 @ 9.74% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.66% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.11% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.08% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.06% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.65% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 3.79% Total : 53.09% | 1-1 @ 10.4% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.85% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.62% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.46% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 6.25% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.55% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 3.04% Total : 24.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 29 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 87 | 17 | 70 | 75 |
2 | RangersRangers | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 59 |
3 | Hibernian | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 43 |
4 | Aberdeen | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 42 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 41 |
6 | Motherwell | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 37 |
7 | Hearts | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 36 |
8 | Ross County | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 35 |
9 | St Mirren | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 34 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 31 |
11 | Dundee | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 28 |
12 | St Johnstone | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 25 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |