Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 76.5%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 9.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.82%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.17%), while for a Hibernian win it was 2-1 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | Celtic |
9.56% ( 0.03) | 13.94% ( 0.01) | 76.5% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 56.8% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.23% ( 0.04) | 27.77% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.54% ( 0.05) | 48.45% ( -0.06) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.4% ( 0.09) | 39.59% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.72% ( 0.09) | 76.28% ( -0.09) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.03% ( -0) | 5.96% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.22% ( 0) | 22.77% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | Celtic |
2-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 9.56% | 1-1 @ 6.17% 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 13.94% | 0-2 @ 9.39% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 8.82% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0) 1-3 @ 8.17% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 6.22% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 5.76% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 3.25% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 0-6 @ 1.65% ( -0) 1-6 @ 1.53% ( 0) 2-5 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 4.9% Total : 76.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |