Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 79.6%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 7.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.86%), while for a Hibernian win it was 1-2 (2.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Hibernian |
79.6% ( -0.22) | 12.78% ( 0.12) | 7.61% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 52.07% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.97% ( -0.2) | 29.03% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.99% ( -0.25) | 50.01% ( 0.25) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.32% ( -0.08) | 5.68% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.03% ( -0.23) | 21.97% ( 0.23) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.2% ( 0.1) | 44.79% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.23% ( 0.08) | 80.77% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Hibernian |
2-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 10% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 8.04% 1-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.62% Total : 79.59% | 1-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.03) Other @ 1% Total : 12.78% | 1-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 7.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |