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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
McDiarmid Park
Hibs logo

St Johnstone
1 - 0
Hibernian

Carey (57')
Kucheriavyi (6'), Franczak (46')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Miller (22'), Bushiri (85'), Vente (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Johnstone and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 0-1 Hibernian
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Johnstone 1-2 Hibernian

Although St Johnstone have proven to be a tough team to beat in recent home games, their recent head-to-head record suggests that this could be a difficult fixture. Hibernian have won five of their last eight meetings (D2, L1) with Saturday's opponents, and we think that they will continue that impressive run of results by claiming a narrow win this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawHibernian
31.73% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07) 27.08% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 41.19% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 49.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.67% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)55.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.46%76.54% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.79% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)32.21% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.3% (-0.055 -0.05)68.7% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.56% (0.039000000000001 0.04)26.44% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39% (0.053000000000004 0.05)61.61% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 31.73%
    Hibernian 41.18%
    Draw 27.07%
St JohnstoneDrawHibernian
1-0 @ 9.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.46% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 31.73%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 8.52%
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 11.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.54% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.54% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.79% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.34% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 41.18%

How you voted: St Johnstone vs Hibernian

St Johnstone
20.0%
Draw
40.0%
Hibernian
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Hibernian
2-0
St Johnstone
Miller (35'), Vente (69')
Bushiri (51')

Robinson (20'), May (51'), Phillips (90')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Oct 21, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Hibernian
1-2
St Johnstone
Clark (73'), May (82')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
St Johnstone
0-1
Hibernian

Wright (55'), MacPherson (89')
Davidson (58')
Campbell (90')
Melkersen (29'), Henderson (71'), Cabraja (81'), Bushiri (90+4')
May 15, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 5
Hibernian
4-0
St Johnstone
McGinn (44'), Scott (48', 61', 88')
McGregor (54')

Rooney (55'), Gilmour (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2Aberdeen16104230181234
3RangersRangers1510232791832
4Motherwell168172226-425
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd166642519624
6St Mirren176382228-621
7Dundee165472729-219
8Kilmarnock174581834-1617
9Hibernian173682129-815
10Ross County173681333-2015
11St Johnstone1742112032-1214
12Hearts1734101826-813


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