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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 23
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Hibs logo

Kilmarnock
2 - 2
Hibernian

Vente (25' og.), Kennedy (54')
Wright (17'), Kennedy (90')
Ndaba (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Newell (66'), Maolida (81')
Marcondes (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hibernian 0-3 Rangers
Wednesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 2-0 Hibernian

Kilmarnock's superb home form makes them favourites for this clash, and they should continue their push for Europe with another win. Hibs have some key players absent at present and made a disappointing return to action at home in the week, so could find it difficult again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
KilmarnockDrawHibernian
48.79% (0.127 0.13) 25.1% (-0.032 -0.03) 26.11% (-0.093 -0.09)
Both teams to score 52.54% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.74% (0.067 0.07)50.26% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.78% (0.058999999999997 0.06)72.21% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.38% (0.082999999999998 0.08)20.62% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.82% (0.127 0.13)53.18% (-0.123 -0.12)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.19% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)33.81% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.53% (-0.044 -0.04)70.47% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 48.79%
    Hibernian 26.11%
    Draw 25.09%
KilmarnockDrawHibernian
1-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.69% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.57% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 48.79%
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.47% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 26.11%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Hibernian

Kilmarnock
64.3%
Draw
28.6%
Hibernian
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Hibernian
1-0
Kilmarnock
Campbell (36')
Campbell (89'), Miller (90+7')

Donnelly (36'), Lyons (51'), Wright (61'), Findlay (82'), McKenzie (90+1')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Kilmarnock
2-2
Hibernian
Vassell (61'), Wright (79')
Vassell (45+2'), Lyons (50'), Armstrong (68'), Deas (81'), Magennis (90+2')
Dennis (8' og.), Vente (59')
Miller (24'), Fish (54'), Boyle (89'), Obita (90+4')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Hibernian
2-0
Kilmarnock
Fish (16'), Hoppe (47')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Kilmarnock
1-0
Hibernian
Armstrong (53' pen.)
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Hibernian
1-0
Kilmarnock
Newell (12')
Boyle (74'), Porteous (77')

Power (18'), Lafferty (77'), McKenzie (90+1')
Taylor (10')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic66002002018
2Aberdeen6600124818
3RangersRangers531194510
4Motherwell631297210
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd62319729
6St Mirren72231113-28
7Ross County7142712-57
8Dundee61321011-16
9Hibernian512258-35
10St Johnstone7115817-94
11Kilmarnock6033615-93
12Hearts7025412-82


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