Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | St Mirren |
44.93% ( -0.07) | 25.1% ( -0.16) | 29.97% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 55.32% ( 0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.08% ( 0.8) | 47.92% ( -0.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.9% ( 0.73) | 70.1% ( -0.73) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.66% ( 0.31) | 21.35% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.69% ( 0.47) | 54.31% ( -0.46) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.33% ( 0.58) | 29.67% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.28% ( 0.69) | 65.72% ( -0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.51% Total : 44.93% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.3% Total : 29.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |