Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Hibernian |
34.96% ( 0.59) | 26.51% ( 0.01) | 38.53% ( -0.6) |
Both teams to score 52.41% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.56% ( 0.03) | 52.44% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.88% ( 0.03) | 74.12% ( -0.03) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.36% ( 0.38) | 28.64% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.55% ( 0.48) | 64.45% ( -0.47) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.45% ( -0.31) | 26.55% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.23% ( -0.42) | 61.77% ( 0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Hibernian |
1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.66% Total : 34.96% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.23% Total : 38.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |