Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 51.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 22.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | St Johnstone |
51.63% ( -0.17) | 25.71% ( 1.11) | 22.67% ( -0.93) |
Both teams to score 47.3% ( -4.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.58% ( -5.12) | 55.42% ( 5.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.38% ( -4.37) | 76.62% ( 4.37) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.48% ( -2.11) | 21.52% ( 2.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.43% ( -3.35) | 54.57% ( 3.35) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.27% ( -3.74) | 39.73% ( 3.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.6% ( -3.63) | 76.4% ( 3.63) |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 13.13% ( 1.68) 2-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.28) 3-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.47) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.48) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.32) Other @ 3.14% Total : 51.61% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.42) 0-0 @ 8.55% ( 1.57) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.6) Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.75) 1-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.35) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.37% Total : 22.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Hearts | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
12 | St Johnstone | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |