MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 12:28:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Kilmarnock logo

Hearts
0 - 0
Kilmarnock


Shankland (30'), Devlin (40'), Atkinson (55')
FT

Armstrong (67'), Lyons (85'), McKenzie (90+3'), Donnelly (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rosenborg 2-1 Hearts
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-0 Rangers
Saturday, August 5 at 5.15pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-0 Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock might have provided the biggest upset of the opening weekend, but they will still head into this match as the underdogs overall. Considering the poor away form that Kilmarnock displayed last season and the quality of the Hearts sqaud, it should be the hosts taking all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
HeartsDrawKilmarnock
35.7% (0.019000000000005 0.02) 25.85% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 38.45% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.71% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.46% (0.042000000000002 0.04)49.54% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.43% (0.038 0.04)71.57% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (0.030999999999992 0.03)26.81% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (0.040999999999997 0.04)62.1% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.74% (0.012 0.01)25.25% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.99% (0.018000000000001 0.02)60.01% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 35.7%
    Kilmarnock 38.45%
    Draw 25.84%
HeartsDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.07% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.54% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 35.7%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 9.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.44%
0-2 @ 6.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 38.45%

How you voted: Hearts vs Kilmarnock

Hearts
77.4%
Draw
6.5%
Kilmarnock
16.1%
31
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Kilmarnock
2-1
Hearts
Armstrong (22' pen.), Doidge (45')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Hearts
3-1
Kilmarnock
Ginnelly (19'), Shankland (29', 89' pen.)
Taylor (73')
Oct 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Kilmarnock
2-2
Hearts
Stokes (47'), Lafferty (59')
Humphrys (62'), Atkinson (90+4')
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Hearts
0-1
Kilmarnock
Cameron (21')
Feb 5, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Hearts
2-3
Kilmarnock
Clare (79' pen.), Halkett (89')
Clare (35'), Souttar (48'), Naismith (65'), Irving (86')
Findlay (24'), Burke (38'), Brophy (50')
Power (52'), Branescu (78')
Branescu (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78


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