Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Kilmarnock |
35.7% ( 0.02) | 25.85% ( -0.01) | 38.45% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.71% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.46% ( 0.04) | 49.54% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.43% ( 0.04) | 71.57% ( -0.04) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.19% ( 0.03) | 26.81% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.9% ( 0.04) | 62.1% ( -0.04) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.74% ( 0.01) | 25.25% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.99% ( 0.02) | 60.01% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.87% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.7% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.58% Total : 38.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |