Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 77.89%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 7.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.94%) and 0-1 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-0 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Celtic |
7.72% ( -0.01) | 14.4% ( -0.01) | 77.89% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 45.47% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.69% ( 0.02) | 37.31% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.47% ( 0.02) | 59.53% ( -0.02) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.31% | 50.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.87% ( -0) | 85.13% |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.22% ( 0.01) | 7.78% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.34% ( 0.02) | 27.66% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Celtic |
1-0 @ 2.68% ( -0) 2-1 @ 2.33% ( -0) 2-0 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 7.72% | 1-1 @ 6.85% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.95% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.97% Other @ 0.64% Total : 14.4% | 0-2 @ 12.85% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 10.94% 0-1 @ 10.07% 1-2 @ 8.74% ( -0) 1-3 @ 7.44% ( 0) 0-4 @ 6.99% ( 0) 1-4 @ 4.75% ( 0) 0-5 @ 3.57% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0) 1-5 @ 2.42% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.61% ( 0) 0-6 @ 1.52% ( 0) 1-6 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 3.43% Total : 77.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |