Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hibernian in this match.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | Kilmarnock |
46.61% ( -0.02) | 24.98% ( -0) | 28.41% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.73% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.76% ( 0.03) | 48.24% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.61% ( 0.03) | 70.39% ( -0.03) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.27% ( 0) | 20.74% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.64% ( 0.01) | 53.36% ( -0) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.05% ( 0.03) | 30.95% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.75% ( 0.04) | 67.25% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.61% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.53% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 28.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |