Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Hibernian |
42.33% ( 0.68) | 25.89% ( 0.08) | 31.78% ( -0.76) |
Both teams to score 53.61% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.46% ( -0.59) | 50.54% ( 0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.54% ( -0.52) | 72.46% ( 0.52) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.31% ( 0.08) | 23.69% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.19% ( 0.11) | 57.81% ( -0.11) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.25% ( -0.79) | 29.75% ( 0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.18% ( -0.97) | 65.82% ( 0.98) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Hibernian |
1-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 42.33% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Hearts | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
12 | St Johnstone | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |