Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 59.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 17.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.72%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-0 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Celtic |
17.95% ( -0.44) | 22.07% ( 0.41) | 59.98% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.09% ( -2.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.23% ( -2.47) | 46.77% ( 2.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.97% ( -2.35) | 69.03% ( 2.35) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.23% ( -1.95) | 39.77% ( 1.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.56% ( -1.85) | 76.44% ( 1.85) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.82% ( -0.81) | 15.18% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.21% ( -1.55) | 43.8% ( 1.55) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Celtic |
1-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 2.57% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.09% Total : 17.95% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.6) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.28) Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.07% | 0-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.84) 0-2 @ 10.72% ( 0.5) 1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 6.74% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 6.22% ( -0.22) 0-4 @ 3.18% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.93% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.26) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.17) 0-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.39% Total : 59.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |