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Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
St Mirren logo

Kilmarnock
1 - 1
St Mirren

Lyons (19')
Cameron (45'), Watson (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Magennis (31' og.)
Baccus (55'), Strain (72'), Olusanya (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-2 Hearts
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Hibernian 4-2 St Mirren
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

We said: Kilmarnock 0-3 St Mirren

St Mirren might have suffered a defeat in midweek, but they are likely going to bounce back with an immediate impact in this fixture. Kilmarnock have struggled for victories this season and facing one of the strongest teams in the division could prove to be a difficult task. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
KilmarnockDrawSt Mirren
39.6% (0.134 0.13) 26.28% (0.032 0.03) 34.12% (-0.165 -0.16)
Both teams to score 53.01% (-0.137 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.39% (-0.162 -0.16)51.61% (0.163 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.6% (-0.141 -0.14)73.4% (0.14200000000001 0.14)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.42% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.54% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)60.46% (0.0040000000000049 0)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.24% (-0.182 -0.18)28.76% (0.183 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.39% (-0.229 -0.23)64.61% (0.23 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 39.6%
    St Mirren 34.12%
    Draw 26.28%
KilmarnockDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 10.03% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.84% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.11% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 39.6%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.36% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 9.17% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.12%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs St Mirren

Kilmarnock
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
St Mirren
80.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
St Mirren
0-2
Kilmarnock
Donnelly (18'), Doidge (35')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Kilmarnock
3-3
St Mirren
Lafferty (8', 62'), Kiltie (81')
Lafferty (34'), Power (61')
McGrath (63'), MacPherson (78'), Quaner (83')
Finlayson (38')
Apr 26, 2021 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Kilmarnock
3-3
St Mirren
St Mirren win 5-4 on penalties
Rossi (37'), Kiltie (44'), Millen (101' pen.)
Oakley (66'), Tshibola (90+3'), Dicker (108')
Durmus (25'), Shaughnessy (84'), McGrath (119' pen.)
McCarthy (82'), McAllister (101'), Alnwick (101')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78


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