Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 15

Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
0 - 1
Hearts

Dennis (40'), Watson (68')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dennis (18' og.)
Nieuwenhof (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Last Game: Ross County 0-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Hearts 1-0 St Johnstone
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Kilmarnock 1-1 Hearts

While showing fine form at home in winning their last three games, Hearts should represent a tough challenge for Kilmarnock here. Just three points separate the sides, and both could see their respective winning runs end with a stalemate here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Hearts
43.93% ( -0.03)	26% ( 0.01)	30.07% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 52.48% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.36% (

-0.04)

51.64% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.58% (

-0.04)

73.42% (

0.03)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.6% (

-0.03)

23.39% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.62% (

-0.05)

57.38% (

0.05)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.51% (

-0.01)

31.49% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.12% (

-0.01)

67.88% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 43.92%

Hearts 30.07%

Draw 25.99%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 43.92%	1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.07%