MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 09:17:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
Aberdeen logo
Celtic logo
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Hibs logo
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Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 15
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Hearts logo

Kilmarnock
0 - 1
Hearts


Dennis (40'), Watson (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dennis (18' og.)
Nieuwenhof (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ross County 0-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 1-0 St Johnstone
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 1-1 Hearts

While showing fine form at home in winning their last three games, Hearts should represent a tough challenge for Kilmarnock here. Just three points separate the sides, and both could see their respective winning runs end with a stalemate here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
KilmarnockDrawHearts
43.93% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03) 26% (0.012 0.01) 30.07% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.48% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.36% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)51.64% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.58% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)73.42% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)23.39% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.62% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)57.38% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.51% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)31.49% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.12% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)67.88% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 43.92%
    Hearts 30.07%
    Draw 25.99%
KilmarnockDrawHearts
1-0 @ 10.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 7.77% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.76% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 43.92%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 8.51% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 30.07%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Hearts

Kilmarnock
12.5%
Draw
0.0%
Hearts
87.5%
8
Head to Head
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Kilmarnock
1-2
Hearts
Lyons (68')
Grant (40'), Lowry (90+2')
Grant (50'), Haring (60'), Nieuwenhof (88'), Sibbick (90+6')
Aug 13, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Hearts
0-0
Kilmarnock
Shankland (30'), Devlin (40'), Atkinson (55')
Armstrong (67'), Lyons (85'), McKenzie (90+3'), Donnelly (90+5')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Kilmarnock
2-1
Hearts
Armstrong (22' pen.), Doidge (45')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Hearts
3-1
Kilmarnock
Ginnelly (19'), Shankland (29', 89' pen.)
Taylor (73')
Oct 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Kilmarnock
2-2
Hearts
Stokes (47'), Lafferty (59')
Humphrys (62'), Atkinson (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2Aberdeen16104230181234
3RangersRangers1510232791832
4Motherwell168172226-425
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd166642519624
6St Mirren176382228-621
7Dundee165472729-219
8Kilmarnock174581834-1617
9Hibernian173682129-815
10Ross County173681333-2015
11St Johnstone1742112032-1214
12Hearts1734101826-813


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