Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | St Johnstone |
44.84% ( -0.01) | 25.09% | 30.07% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.4% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.16% ( 0) | 47.84% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.97% ( 0) | 70.02% ( -0) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.64% ( -0) | 21.35% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.68% ( -0) | 54.32% |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.44% ( 0.01) | 29.56% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.41% ( 0.01) | 65.58% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 9.75% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.17% 2-0 @ 7.52% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.72% 3-0 @ 3.87% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.51% Total : 44.84% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.69% 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 30.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |