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Serie A
Milan logo
Serie A | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Bologna logo

AC Milan
2 - 0
Bologna

Leao (21'), Giroud (58')
Calabria (66'), Adli (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Schouten (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

Last Six:
Last Game: Atalanta 1-1 AC Milan
Sunday, August 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Bologna

Last Six:
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, August 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Bologna

 With little to offer by way of a goal threat, Arnautovic aside, Bologna cannot afford to concede too often this season. Milan's growing depth in the final third should see them break through at some stage, and the champions should then coast home to three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 71.06%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 10.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.65%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawBologna
71.06% (0.21600000000001 0.22) 18.34% (-0.11 -0.11) 10.59% (-0.103 -0.1)
Both teams to score 43.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.77% (0.194 0.19)46.23% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.48% (0.182 0.18)68.52% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.28% (0.11499999999999 0.11)11.72% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.16% (0.244 0.24)36.84% (-0.241 -0.24)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.64% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)50.35% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.1% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)84.9% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 71.06%
    Bologna 10.59%
    Draw 18.34%
AC MilanDrawBologna
2-0 @ 13.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 12.65% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 9.69% (0.052 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.65% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 5.2% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.57% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 2.23% (0.032 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.53% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 71.06%
1-1 @ 8.68% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.9% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 18.34%
0-1 @ 4.05% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 2.98% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.39% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 10.59%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Bologna

AC Milan
92.0%
Draw
8.0%
Bologna
0.0%
87
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2022 7.45pm
AC Milan
0-0
Bologna

Dijks (41'), Orsolini (90+8')
Oct 23, 2021 7.45pm
Bologna
2-4
AC Milan
Ibrahimovic (49' og.), Barrow (52')
Arnautovic (34')
Soumaoro (20'), Soriano (58')
Leao (16'), Calabria (35'), Bennacer (84'), Ibrahimovic (90')
Tonali (45+1'), Calabria (61'), Saelemaekers (67')
Jan 30, 2021 2pm
Bologna
1-2
AC Milan
Poli (81')
Dijks (24'), Soriano (56')
Mihajlovic (55')
Rebic (26'), Kessie (55' pen.)
Rebic (51')
Sep 21, 2020 7.45pm
AC Milan
2-0
Bologna
Ibrahimovic (35', 50' pen.)
Castillejo (40'), Krunic (86'), Gabbia (89')

Dominguez (18'), Dijks (31'), Tomiyasu (74'), Sansone (82')
Dijks (88')
Jul 18, 2020 8.45pm
AC Milan
5-1
Bologna
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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