Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 3

Aug 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
2 - 0
Bologna

Leao (21'), Giroud (58')
Calabria (66'), Adli (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Schouten (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

Last Six:

Last Game: Atalanta 1-1 AC Milan
Sunday, August 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Juventus	2	3	4
6	AC Milan	2	2	4
7	Atalanta BC	2	2	4

Bologna

Last Six:

Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, August 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Spezia	2	-2	3
13	Bologna	2	-1	1
14	Empoli	2	-1	1

With little to offer by way of a goal threat, Arnautovic aside, Bologna cannot afford to concede too often this season. Milan's growing depth in the final third should see them break through at some stage, and the champions should then coast home to three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 71.06%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 10.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.65%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Bologna
71.06% ( 0.22)	18.34% ( -0.11)	10.59% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 43.83% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.77% (

0.19)

46.23% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.48% (

0.18)

68.52% (

-0.18)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.28% (

0.11)

11.72% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.16% (

0.24)

36.84% (

-0.24)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.64% (

-0.07)

50.35% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.1% (

-0.05)

84.9% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 71.06%

Bologna 10.59%

Draw 18.34%

AC Milan	Draw	Bologna
2-0 @ 13.56% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 12.65% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 71.06%	1-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.57% Total : 18.34%	0-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.18% Total : 10.59%