Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Atalanta BC | 2 | 2 | 4 |
9 | Fiorentina | 2 | 1 | 4 |
10 | Udinese | 3 | -1 | 4 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Roma | 3 | 2 | 7 |
5 | Napoli | 2 | 7 | 6 |
6 | Inter Milan | 3 | 2 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 37.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Napoli |
38.01% ( 1.16) | 24.72% ( 0.01) | 37.27% ( -1.16) |
Both teams to score 58.79% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.67% ( -0.02) | 44.33% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.29% ( -0.02) | 66.7% ( 0.02) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.87% ( 0.6) | 23.13% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43% ( 0.87) | 56.99% ( -0.86) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.48% ( -0.61) | 23.52% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.44% ( -0.9) | 57.55% ( 0.9) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.01% | 1-1 @ 11.52% 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.71% | 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.12% Total : 37.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |