Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Lecce2 - 3AC Milan
We said: Lecce 0-2 AC Milan
Lecce are unlikely to make it easy, but Milan must surely end their winless streak this weekend. The Rossoneri's abundance of attacking talent should produce at least one goal between them, while their hosts often fail to find the net. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 59.47%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 17.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.41%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | AC Milan |
17.57% ( -0.06) | 22.96% ( -0.01) | 59.47% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.68% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.04% ( -0.06) | 50.96% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.17% ( -0.05) | 72.83% ( 0.05) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.31% ( -0.11) | 42.69% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.97% ( -0.09) | 79.03% ( 0.09) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.2% ( 0) | 16.79% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.24% ( 0) | 46.76% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Lecce 17.57%
AC Milan 59.46%
Draw 22.95%
| Lecce | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 6.1% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 17.57% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.77% Total : 22.95% | 0-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 11.41% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 9.71% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.79% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.78% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.58% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.08% ( 0)1-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.83% Total : 59.46% |
How you voted: Lecce vs AC Milan
Lecce
10.3%Draw
12.1%AC Milan
77.6%58
Head to Head
Sep 27, 2024 7.45pm
Apr 23, 2023 5pm
Jan 14, 2023 5pm
