Serie A | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Atalanta0 - 2Inter Milan
We said: Atalanta BC 1-2 Inter Milan
Across the last 15 league meetings in Bergamo, both sides have recorded four wins, seven draws and scored 21 goals apiece - and this season's title race is also finely balanced. Boasting a much better head-to-head record overall, Inter can tip the scales in their favour this weekend, with a win surely ruling out hopes of La Dea finally claiming the Scudetto. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Inter Milan |
38.1% ( -0.16) | 25.63% ( -0.05) | 36.27% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 55.51% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.46% ( 0.21) | 48.54% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.34% ( 0.2) | 70.66% ( -0.19) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.02% ( 0.01) | 24.98% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.36% ( 0.02) | 59.63% ( -0.01) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.99% ( 0.22) | 26.01% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.97% ( 0.3) | 61.03% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC 38.1%
Inter Milan 36.27%
Draw 25.62%
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0)4-0 @ 1% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.77% Total : 38.1% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.36% Total : 36.27% |
How you voted: Atalanta vs Inter Milan
Atalanta BC
26.0%Draw
17.3%Inter Milan
56.7%127
Form Guide
