Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Atalanta BC |
26.86% ( 1.05) | 26.31% ( 0.06) | 46.83% ( -1.11) |
Both teams to score 49.51% ( 0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.47% ( 0.45) | 54.52% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.12% ( 0.37) | 75.88% ( -0.38) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.52% ( 1.13) | 35.48% ( -1.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.75% ( 1.15) | 72.24% ( -1.16) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.73% ( -0.32) | 23.27% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.8% ( -0.47) | 57.19% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.02% Total : 26.86% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.78% Total : 46.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |