Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 37

May 18, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
0 - 2
Atalanta

FT(HT: 0-0)

De Ketelaere (48'), Scamacca (53')
Hateboer (25'), Bilal Toure (37'), Pasalic (44'), Toloi (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 0-2 Udinese
Monday, May 13 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Juventus
Wednesday, May 15 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Lecce 1-2 Atalanta BC

Atalanta have posted three wins from their last four away matches in Serie A, and they can continue in that vein this weekend. With no time to dwell on events in midweek, the Europa League finalists should prove too strong for Lecce, who have improved under new management but remain vulnerable at the back. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Atalanta BC
26.86% ( 1.05)	26.31% ( 0.06)	46.83% ( -1.11)

Both teams to score 49.51% (

0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.47% (

0.45)

54.52% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.12% (

0.37)

75.88% (

-0.38)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.52% (

1.13)

35.48% (

-1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.75% (

1.15)

72.24% (

-1.16)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.73% (

-0.32)

23.27% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.8% (

-0.47)

57.19% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

Lecce 26.86%

Atalanta BC 46.82%

Draw 26.31%

Lecce	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.02% Total : 26.86%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.78% Total : 46.82%