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Serie A
Lecce logo
Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 18, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Atalanta logo

Lecce
0 - 2
Atalanta

FT(HT: 0-0)
De Ketelaere (48'), Scamacca (53')
Hateboer (25'), Bilal Toure (37'), Pasalic (44'), Toloi (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last Game: Lecce 0-2 Udinese
Monday, May 13 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Juventus
Wednesday, May 15 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Lecce 1-2 Atalanta BC

 Atalanta have posted three wins from their last four away matches in Serie A, and they can continue in that vein this weekend. With no time to dwell on events in midweek, the Europa League finalists should prove too strong for Lecce, who have improved under new management but remain vulnerable at the back. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawAtalanta BC
26.86% (1.05 1.05) 26.31% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 46.83% (-1.115 -1.11)
Both teams to score 49.51% (0.662 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.47% (0.447 0.45)54.52% (-0.454 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.12% (0.369 0.37)75.88% (-0.376 -0.38)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.52% (1.126 1.13)35.48% (-1.133 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.75% (1.15 1.15)72.24% (-1.156 -1.16)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.73% (-0.32300000000001 -0.32)23.27% (0.316 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.8% (-0.47000000000001 -0.47)57.19% (0.463 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 26.86%
    Atalanta BC 46.82%
    Draw 26.31%
LecceDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 8.55% (0.111 0.11)
2-1 @ 6.46% (0.219 0.22)
2-0 @ 4.43% (0.19 0.19)
3-1 @ 2.23% (0.141 0.14)
3-2 @ 1.63% (0.089 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.53% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 26.86%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.25% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 12.03% (-0.33 -0.33)
1-2 @ 9.09% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 8.78% (-0.325 -0.32)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.27% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.035 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.61% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.56% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 46.82%

How you voted: Lecce vs Atalanta

Lecce
10.5%
Draw
15.0%
Atalanta BC
74.4%
133
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 18
Atalanta
1-0
Lecce
Lookman (58')
Zappacosta (35'), Holm (90+5')

Ramadani (82'), Oudin (90+5')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 23
Atalanta
1-2
Lecce
Hojlund (87')
Ceesay (4'), Blin (74')
> Preview
Nov 9, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Lecce
2-1
Atalanta
Baschirotto (27'), Di Francesco (29')
Zapata (40')
> Preview
Mar 1, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 26
Lecce
2-7
Atalanta
Saponara (29'), Donati (40')
Lucioni (66'), Saponara (70')
Donati (17' og.), Zapata (22', 54', 62'), Ilicic (47'), Muriel (87'), Malinovskiy (90')
Hateboer (45'), Luis Palomino (57')
Oct 6, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 7
Atalanta
3-1
Lecce
Zapata (35'), Papu (40'), Gosens (56')
Kjaer (63'), de Roon (73')
Lucioni (86')
Lucioni (62'), Majer (84'), Rispoli (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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