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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Salernitana

Atalanta
4 - 1
Salernitana

Muriel (47'), Pasalic (52'), De Ketelaere (83'), Miranchuk (89')
Piero Gasperini (41'), Ruggeri (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pirola (10')
Pirola (40'), Maggiore (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Rakow 0-4 Atalanta
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League

Salernitana

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-2 Bologna
Sunday, December 10 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 5-1 Salernitana

 Atalanta have returned to form in the past week and been excellent in front of goal, so they will be fully expectant of beating a side struggling at the foot of the table. While there has been just four goals in the other three meetings between these sides since Salernitana's promotion, a similar scoreline to the 8-2 recorded here 11 months ago looks the more likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.86%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.12%) and 3-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawSalernitana
71.86% (2.511 2.51) 17.45% (-1.387 -1.39) 10.69% (-1.126 -1.13)
Both teams to score 47.14% (0.837 0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.03% (3.188 3.19)41.97% (-3.189 -3.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.63% (3.131 3.13)64.37% (-3.132 -3.13)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.66% (1.544 1.54)10.33% (-1.545 -1.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.21% (3.395 3.4)33.79% (-3.396 -3.4)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.57% (0.027000000000001 0.03)47.42% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.19% (0.021000000000001 0.02)82.8% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 71.86%
    Salernitana 10.69%
    Draw 17.45%
Atalanta BCDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 12.62% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-0 @ 11.12% (-0.88 -0.88)
3-0 @ 9.55% (0.466 0.47)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-1 @ 7.13% (0.353 0.35)
4-0 @ 5.42% (0.581 0.58)
4-1 @ 4.04% (0.436 0.44)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.134 0.13)
5-0 @ 2.46% (0.398 0.4)
5-1 @ 1.84% (0.298 0.3)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.164 0.16)
6-0 @ 0.93% (0.199 0.2)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 71.86%
1-1 @ 8.3% (-0.653 -0.65)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.735 -0.74)
2-2 @ 3.51% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 17.45%
0-1 @ 3.66% (-0.546 -0.55)
1-2 @ 3.1% (-0.241 -0.24)
0-2 @ 1.36% (-0.202 -0.2)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 10.69%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Salernitana

Atalanta BC
86.1%
Draw
10.1%
Salernitana
3.8%
79
Head to Head
May 13, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 35
Salernitana
1-0
Atalanta
Candreva (90+3')
Lovato (59'), Coulibaly (76')

Scalvini (49'), de Roon (60')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 18
Atalanta
8-2
Salernitana
Boga (5'), Lookman (20' pen., 54'), Scalvini (23'), Koopmeiners (38'), Hojlund (41'), Ederson (61'), Zortea (85')
Dia (10'), Nicolussi (56')
> Preview
May 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Atalanta
1-1
Salernitana
Pasalic (88')
Demiral (37'), Luis Palomino (38'), Freuler (90')
Ederson (27')
Djuric (38'), Verdi (58')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Salernitana
0-1
Atalanta

Djuric (45'), Ranieri (60'), Obi (73'), Jaroszynski (86')
Zapata (75')
Maehle (16'), Toloi (38'), Demiral (45'), Malinovskyi (56')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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