We said: Genoa 1-1 Salernitana
It is difficult to back either side with any real confidence; Genoa are the favourites, but they have not exactly been impressive this season. It would not be a surprise to see a home victory, but we have a feeling that Salernitana will be able to claim a share of the spoils on Friday night.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 52.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match.