Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, October 31 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
We said: Salernitana 1-3 Napoli
While Napoli's proclivity to concede means Salernitana could add to their meagre six goals on Saturday, the Partenopei should be too strong for the struggling side at the Arechi. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 67.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 13.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.05%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Napoli |
13.36% ( -0.07) | 19.24% ( -0.1) | 67.4% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 49.61% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.78% ( 0.3) | 43.22% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.38% ( 0.3) | 65.62% ( -0.3) |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.28% ( 0.09) | 43.71% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.11% ( 0.07) | 79.89% ( -0.07) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.15% ( 0.13) | 11.85% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.87% ( 0.29) | 37.13% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.11% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.35% Total : 13.36% | 1-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.88% Total : 19.24% | 0-2 @ 11.78% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.08)1-2 @ 9.75% ( -0)0-3 @ 8.38% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.93% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 4.47% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 3.7% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.91% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.47% Total : 67.4% |
