Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Atalanta3 - 2AC Milan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Torino 3-0 Atalanta
Monday, December 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Monday, December 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Atalanta BC 1-1 AC Milan
Though Milan have had the edge over Atalanta in recent years, both teams are hampered by absences at the moment and may ultimately settle for a point. The hosts have been struggling to keep their back door shut, while the Rossoneri remain some way short of their best. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | AC Milan |
46.69% ( 1.62) | 25.73% ( -0.11) | 27.58% ( -1.51) |
| Both teams to score 51.77% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
